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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
VS

Makhachev

Southpaw Combat sambo
70" Reach 70"
6.48 Strikes Landed/Min 2.45
51% Strike Defense 61%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 3.1
74% Takedown Defense 91%

Win Probability

Gaethje
49%
Makhachev
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gaethje Striking Volume
Strike Defense Makhachev ▲
Takedown Defense Makhachev ▲
Grappling Output Makhachev ▲
Win Rate Makhachev ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Combat sambo

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

Makhachev Tactics

Veteran

"Islam Makhachev is a grappling-heavy veteran with a strong career trajectory and well-rounded skills."

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