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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Balajin

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
1.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
2 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
66% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Balajin
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Balajin Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Balajin Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Balajin Tactics

Veteran

"Balajin is a seasoned veteran with a well-rounded skillset, struggling to find success in striking but exceling in grappling."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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