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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Tukhugov

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
3.17 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
2.13 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Tukhugov
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Tukhugov Strike Defense
▲ Tukhugov Takedown Defense
▲ Tukhugov Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Tukhugov Tactics

Veteran

"Zubaira Tukhugov is a seasoned striker with a strong record, but his grappling skills are limited, making him a one-dimensional threat."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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