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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Scroggin

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
2.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
68% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Scroggin
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Scroggin Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Scroggin Strike Defense

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Scroggin Tactics

Prospect

"Zachary Scroggin is a young fighter with a limited record and inconsistent performance, making it difficult to assess his skills."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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