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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Shirai

Orthodox Striker
VS

Ferguson

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 76"
1.02 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
55% Strike Defense 55%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.39
N/A Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Shirai
43%
Ferguson
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
Win Rate Ferguson ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Shirai Tactics

Journeyman

"Yuya Shirai is a streaky striker with impressive accuracy, but his extremely low-volume striking and lack of grappling skills limit his upside."

Ferguson Tactics

Veteran

"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."

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