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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Kinoshita

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
4.65 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Kinoshita
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Kinoshita Tactics

Prospect

"Yusaku Kinoshita is a promising young striker with impressive striking numbers, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and may leave him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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