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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Akiyama

Orthodox Judo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
3.1 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
57% Strike Defense 51%
2.29 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
92% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Akiyama
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Akiyama Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Akiyama Strike Defense
▲ Akiyama Takedown Defense
▲ Akiyama Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Judo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Akiyama Tactics

Veteran

"Yoshihiro Akiyama is a grappling specialist with a strong record, but his striking numbers are mediocre and he often relies on his submissions to finish fights."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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