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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Cabral

Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.02 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
62% Strike Defense 51%
2.89 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
37% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Cabral
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Cabral Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Cabral Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Cabral Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Cabral Tactics

Veteran

"Yan Cabral is a seasoned grappler with a strong background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, but his striking defense is a concern and holds him back from being a top contender."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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