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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Guan

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
4.73 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Guan
54%
Gaethje
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Guan Strike Defense
▲ Guan Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Guan Tactics

Elite

"Wang Guan is a highly skilled striker with high striking volume and accuracy, but his grappling skills are limited, and he often struggles against opponents with a strong ground game."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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