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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Valenzuela

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.47 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
0.63 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
55% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Valenzuela
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Valenzuela Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Valenzuela Tactics

Prospect

"Victor Valenzuela is a promising prospect with exceptional striking skills, but his grappling skills are still developing, and he may struggle against opponents with strong wrestling backgrounds."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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