+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Lutz
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3.74 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
1.99 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
69% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Lutz
47%
Gaethje
53%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Lutz Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Lutz Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Lutz Tactics
Prospect"Tucker Lutz is a promising striker with a high striking accuracy and volume, but his grappling defense needs improvement to take his career to the next level."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."