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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Connelly

Orthodox Striker
VS

Guida

Orthodox Grappler
68" Reach 70"
3.31 Strikes Landed/Min 2.63
50% Strike Defense 61%
0.33 Takedowns/15Min 3.1
60% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Connelly
48%
Guida
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Guida ▲
▲ Connelly Striking Volume
Strike Defense Guida ▲
Grappling Output Guida ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Grappler

"Striker vs Grappler — Classic MMA clash. If the fight stays standing, the striker holds the edge. Takedown defense will be decisive."

Connelly Tactics

Veteran

"Tristan Connelly is a skilled striker with above-average striking offense and defense, but struggles with takedowns and submissions."

Guida Tactics

Veteran

"Clay Guida is a veteran wrestler with a strong grappling game, but his striking skills have declined with age, making him a gatekeeper in the 155lbs division."

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