+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Waters
Orthodox Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
77" Reach 70"
6.39 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
55% Strike Defense 51%
0.4 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
85% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Waters
48%
Gaethje
52%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Waters Reach Advantage —
▲ Waters Takedown Defense —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Waters Tactics
Journeyman"Trey Waters is a fighter with inconsistent striking and grappling stats, making it difficult to assess his overall skill level."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."