Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Waldburger

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
2.02 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
40% Strike Defense 51%
3.03 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
40% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Waldburger
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Waldburger Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Waldburger Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Waldburger Tactics

Veteran

"TJ Waldburger is a skilled grappler with a strong record and aggressive submission skills, making him a threat on the ground."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore