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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Moises

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.52 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
1.37 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
52% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Moises
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Moises Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Moises Tactics

Veteran

"Thiago Moises is a grapple-heavy veteran with a strong submission game and a lot of fight experience."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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