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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Sato

Southpaw Judo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
2.21 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
44% Strike Defense 51%
0.76 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Sato
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Sato Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Sato Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Judo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Sato Tactics

Veteran

"Solid all-around fighter with a strong takedown defense and respectable striking skills."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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