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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Aliev

Orthodox Combat Sambo
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
1.41 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
56% Strike Defense 51%
1.76 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Aliev
49%
Gaethje
51%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Aliev Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Aliev Takedown Defense
▲ Aliev Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Combat Sambo VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Aliev Tactics

Veteran

"Sultan Aliev is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling game, but his striking defense leaves room for improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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