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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Garcia

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
75" Reach 70"
5.39 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
0.86 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
88% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Garcia
50%
Gaethje
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Garcia Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Garcia Strike Defense
▲ Garcia Takedown Defense
▲ Garcia Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Garcia Tactics

Veteran

"Steve Garcia is a seasoned veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling vulnerabilities and advanced age may hinder his ability to compete at the highest level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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