+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Carlyle
Switch Striker
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
2.55 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
30% Strike Defense 51%
3.34 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
57% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Carlyle
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Carlyle Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Carlyle Tactics
Veteran"Spike Carlyle is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game and decent grappling skills, but his career trajectory has been marked by inconsistent performances."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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