+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Outlaw
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
0.13 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
71% Strike Defense 51%
3 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Outlaw
44%
Gaethje
56%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Outlaw Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Outlaw Strike Defense —
▲ Outlaw Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Outlaw Tactics
Veteran"Sidney Outlaw is a grappling-heavy fighter with a strong takedown game, but struggles with striking defense and accuracy, making him a tough opponent for grapplers."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."