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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Moraes

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
3 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
53% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Moraes
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Moraes Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Moraes Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Moraes Tactics

Prospect

"Sheymon Moraes is a skilled striker with a strong record, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped, making him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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