+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Nelson
Southpaw Striker
VS
Ferguson
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 76"
1.38 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
61% Strike Defense 55%
1.31 Takedowns/15Min 0.39
54% Takedown Defense 66%
Win Probability
Nelson
45%
Ferguson
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Ferguson ▲
— Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
▲ Nelson Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Ferguson ▲
▲ Nelson Grappling Output —
Style Matchup
Striker VS Striker
"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."
Nelson Tactics
Journeyman"Shane Nelson is a limited striker with decent volume, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and his defense is a concern."
Ferguson Tactics
Veteran"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."