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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Khandozhko

Orthodox Ashihara Karate
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
3.41 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
0.76 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
61% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Khandozhko
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Khandozhko Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Khandozhko Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Khandozhko Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Ashihara Karate VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Khandozhko Tactics

Veteran

"Sergey Khandozhko is a veteran fighter with a solid record, but his striking statistics suggest he may be more of a volume-based striker, while his grappling defense is a concern."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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