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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Szalay

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
66" Reach 70"
4.94 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
65% Strike Defense 51%
0.51 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
84% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Szalay
51%
Gaethje
49%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Szalay Strike Defense
▲ Szalay Grappling Output

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Szalay Tactics

Contender

"Sebastian Szalay is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record and decent striking and grappling skills, but he lacks a clear identity and may struggle against top-level opponents."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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