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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Spencer

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
4.24 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
0.14 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
68% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Spencer
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Spencer Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Spencer Strike Defense
Grappling Output Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Spencer Tactics

Veteran

"Sean Spencer is a well-rounded striker with a high volume of strikes landed and attempted, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and he excels at takedown defense."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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