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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Shaffer

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
72% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Shaffer
35%
Gaethje
65%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Shaffer Tactics

Unknown

"Scott Shaffer's limited experience and low grappling volume make it difficult to assess his skills, but his striking accuracy is a promising sign."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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