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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Chonan

Orthodox Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
2.57 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
60% Strike Defense 51%
0.61 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
39% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Chonan
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Chonan Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Chonan Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Chonan Tactics

Veteran

"Ryo Chonan is a well-rounded veteran with a strong grappling background and decent striking skills, but his overall record suggests he may be past his prime."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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