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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

McGillivray

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.27 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
52% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
44% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

McGillivray
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ McGillivray Win Rate

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

McGillivray Tactics

Veteran

"Ryan McGillivray is a well-rounded veteran with a strong striking game, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped and need improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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