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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gracie

Orthodox Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
VS

Ferguson

Orthodox Striker
79" Reach 76"
1.78 Strikes Landed/Min 4.91
61% Strike Defense 55%
1.87 Takedowns/15Min 0.39
60% Takedown Defense 66%

Win Probability

Gracie
50%
Ferguson
50%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Gracie Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Ferguson ▲
▲ Gracie Strike Defense
▲ Gracie Grappling Output
▲ Gracie Win Rate

Style Matchup

Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gracie Tactics

Veteran

"A highly skilled grappler with a strong background in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, Roger Gracie has shown flashes of brilliance in his career, but his inconsistent striking and defensive vulnerabilities hold him back from reaching his full potential."

Ferguson Tactics

Veteran

"Tony Ferguson is a veteran striker with a high volume of strikes and a strong record, but his grappling game is lacking, making him a one-dimensional fighter at 170lbs."

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