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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rainey

Switch Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
77" Reach 70"
2.55 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
46% Strike Defense 51%
0.95 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
55% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rainey
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Rainey Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Rainey Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Rainey Tactics

Prospect

"Ricky Rainey is a well-rounded striker with decent volume and accuracy, but his grappling skills need improvement."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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