+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Garcia
Orthodox Balanced
VS
Nelson
Switch Grappler
70" Reach 72"
4.28 Strikes Landed/Min 1.77
61% Strike Defense 48%
3.22 Takedowns/15Min 2
77% Takedown Defense 68%
Win Probability
Garcia
56%
Nelson
44%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Nelson ▲
▲ Garcia Striking Volume —
▲ Garcia Strike Defense —
▲ Garcia Grappling Output —
▲ Garcia Win Rate —
Style Matchup
Balanced VS Grappler
"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."
Garcia Tactics
Contender"Rafa Garcia's well-rounded skillset and impressive record make him a promising contender, but he needs to develop a more distinct style to stand out in the lightweight division."
Nelson Tactics
Veteran"Gunnar Nelson is a skilled grappler with a strong submission game and solid wrestling skills, but his striking is not his strong suit."