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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rowe

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
80" Reach 70"
3.51 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
0.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
53% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rowe
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Rowe Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Rowe Tactics

Journeyman

"Phil Rowe has a decent record but lacks a clear advantage in either striking or grappling, making him a journeyman in the 170lbs division."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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