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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Baroni

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
72" Reach 70"
2.77 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
40% Strike Defense 51%
1.46 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Baroni
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Baroni Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Baroni Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Baroni Tactics

Veteran

"Phil Baroni is a hard-hitting striker with a strong attack, but his defense is suspect, and he struggles with takedowns, making him a high-risk, high-reward fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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