+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Thiago
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
74" Reach 70"
1.71 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
63% Strike Defense 51%
1.42 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
63% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Thiago
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
▲ Thiago Reach Advantage —
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Thiago Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Thiago Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Thiago Tactics
Veteran"Veteran grappler with a strong ground game and decent striking defense, but limited striking offense."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."