+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Kelly
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
3.22 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.34 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
30% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Kelly
46%
Gaethje
54%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Kelly Strike Defense —
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Kelly Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Kelly Tactics
Veteran"Paul Kelly is a skilled grappler with excellent submission skills, but his striking skills are limited, making him vulnerable to knockouts."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."