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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Freire

N/A Kickboxing, BJJ
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
71" Reach 70"
3.06 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
69% Strike Defense 51%
1.26 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Freire
48%
Gaethje
52%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Freire Strike Defense
▲ Freire Takedown Defense
▲ Freire Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Kickboxing, BJJ VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Freire Tactics

Veteran

"Patricky Freire is a veteran striker with a strong record, but his grappling defense is a concern, making him vulnerable to submissions."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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