Return to Hub

Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Murphy

N/A Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
3.4 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
42% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Murphy
43%
Gaethje
57%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Murphy Tactics

Journeyman

"Patrick Murphy is a skilled striker with a solid record, but his grappling numbers are non-existent, making him a one-dimensional fighter."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

More Matchups To Explore