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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Garza

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3.37 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
0.94 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
15% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Garza
44%
Gaethje
56%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Garza Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Garza Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Garza Tactics

Veteran

"Pablo Garza is a skilled striker with above-average striking defense, but his grappling skills are somewhat lacking, making him a threat in the stand-up game."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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