+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Lentz
Orthodox Wrestling
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
68" Reach 70"
3.44 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
50% Strike Defense 51%
3.3 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
43% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Lentz
49%
Gaethje
51%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Lentz Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Wrestling VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Lentz Tactics
Elite"Nik Lentz is a highly experienced and skilled fighter with a strong all-around game, making him a top-tier fighter in the division."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."