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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Diaz

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
76" Reach 70"
5.71 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
59% Strike Defense 51%
1.28 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
60% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Diaz
52%
Gaethje
48%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Diaz Reach Advantage
▲ Diaz Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Diaz Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Diaz Tactics

Elite

"Nick Diaz is a legendary striker with incredible striking power and accuracy, but his grappling skills are underdeveloped, making him a one-dimensional striker."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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