+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Barnes
N/A Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
2.86 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
51% Strike Defense 51%
5.36 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
100% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Barnes
51%
Gaethje
49%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Barnes Takedown Defense —
▲ Barnes Grappling Output —
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Barnes Tactics
Prospect"Nick Barnes is a skilled grappler with impressive numbers, but his striking numbers are concerning, and he may struggle against well-rounded opponents."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
More Matchups To Explore
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Gaethje vs