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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Gracie

N/A Brazilian jiu-jitsu
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
0.77 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
75% Strike Defense 51%
5.77 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Gracie
54%
Gaethje
46%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Gracie Strike Defense
▲ Gracie Grappling Output
▲ Gracie Win Rate

Style Matchup

Brazilian jiu-jitsu VS Striker

"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."

Gracie Tactics

Elite

"A highly skilled grappler with a dominant grappling background and improving striking skills, Neiman Gracie has the potential to become a top contender in the future."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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