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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Coy

Southpaw Balanced
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 70"
3.88 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
3.17 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
50% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Coy
47%
Gaethje
53%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Coy Strike Defense
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Coy Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Balanced VS Striker

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Coy Tactics

Veteran

"Nathan Coy's well-rounded skills and experience make him a solid opponent, but he needs to develop his striking offense to reach the next level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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