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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smith

Switch Grappler
VS

Nicolau

Orthodox Balanced
69" Reach 66"
1.28 Strikes Landed/Min 3.31
35% Strike Defense 65%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 1.22
33% Takedown Defense 90%

Win Probability

Smith
46%
Nicolau
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Smith Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Nicolau ▲
Strike Defense Nicolau ▲
Takedown Defense Nicolau ▲
▲ Smith Win Rate

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Balanced

"Balanced vs Specialist — The well-rounded fighter can dictate where this fight takes place, forcing their opponent out of their comfort zone."

Smith Tactics

Prospect

"Nate Smith is an aggressive grappler with a high submission average, but his striking defense is a concern."

Nicolau Tactics

Veteran

"Matheus Nicolau is a well-rounded veteran fighter with a long career and balanced skillset, but lacks a clear dominant style."

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