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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Smith

Switch Grappler
VS

Thicknesse

Orthodox Striker
69" Reach 69"
1.28 Strikes Landed/Min 3.33
35% Strike Defense 50%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 1
33% Takedown Defense 50%

Win Probability

Smith
45%
Thicknesse
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Thicknesse ▲
Strike Defense Thicknesse ▲
Takedown Defense Thicknesse ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Smith Tactics

Prospect

"Nate Smith is an aggressive grappler with a high submission average, but his striking defense is a concern."

Thicknesse Tactics

Contender

"Colby Thicknesse is a well-rounded fighter with a strong record, but his striking and grappling numbers are not particularly impressive, making him a contender in the 135lbs weight class."

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