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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Miyazawa

Southpaw Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
N/A Reach 70"
1.23 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
61% Strike Defense 51%
N/A Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Miyazawa
45%
Gaethje
55%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Miyazawa Strike Defense
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Miyazawa Tactics

Prospect

"Motoki Miyazawa is a promising striker with a high striking output, but his lack of grappling experience makes it difficult to assess his overall skill level."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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