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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Yahya

Switch Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
73" Reach 70"
3.5 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
43% Strike Defense 51%
0.5 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
42% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Yahya
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Yahya Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Strike Defense Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Yahya Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Yahya Tactics

Journeyman

"Mohammad Yahya is a well-rounded fighter with a strong grappling background, but his striking skills are underdeveloped and may leave him vulnerable to counterattacks."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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