+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Hirota
Orthodox Boxing, Sumo
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
67" Reach 70"
3.36 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.36 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
58% Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Hirota
45%
Gaethje
55%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Reach Advantage Gaethje ▲
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
— Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Hirota Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Boxing, Sumo VS Striker
"Tactical wildcard matchup — Both fighters bring unique tools to the cage. Adaptability and game planning will be key."
Hirota Tactics
Veteran"Mizuto Hirota is a high-volume striker with decent defense, but his grappling skills are limited, making him a one-dimensional fighter."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."
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