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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Swick

Orthodox Striker
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
77" Reach 70"
2.36 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
54% Strike Defense 51%
1.06 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
61% Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Swick
46%
Gaethje
54%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

▲ Swick Reach Advantage
Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
Takedown Defense Gaethje ▲
▲ Swick Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Striker VS Striker

"Striker vs Striker — High-octane standup battle expected. Reach, volume, and defensive footwork will separate these two."

Swick Tactics

Veteran

"Mike Swick is a well-rounded striker with a strong defensive game, but his grappling skills are solid but not spectacular."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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