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Alpha Contender

VS

Bravo Contender

+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled

Rio

Orthodox Grappler
VS

Gaethje

Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
1.68 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
2.58 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%

Win Probability

Rio
41%
Gaethje
59%

Based on stats, win rate & tier

Key Advantages

Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Rio Grappling Output
Win Rate Gaethje ▲

Style Matchup

Grappler VS Striker

"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."

Rio Tactics

Journeyman

"Mike Rio is a grappler with a strong takedown game, but his striking is underdeveloped and his defense can be porous at times."

Gaethje Tactics

Veteran

"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."

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