+/-1 Division Delta Restriction Enabled
Rio
Orthodox Grappler
VS
Gaethje
Orthodox Striker
70" Reach 70"
1.68 Strikes Landed/Min 6.48
53% Strike Defense 51%
2.58 Takedowns/15Min 0.33
N/A Takedown Defense 74%
Win Probability
Rio
41%
Gaethje
59%
Based on stats, win rate & tier
Key Advantages
— Striking Volume Gaethje ▲
▲ Rio Grappling Output —
— Win Rate Gaethje ▲
Style Matchup
Grappler VS Striker
"Grappler vs Striker — The grappler needs to close distance and secure takedowns early. The striker must keep it on the feet."
Rio Tactics
Journeyman"Mike Rio is a grappler with a strong takedown game, but his striking is underdeveloped and his defense can be porous at times."
Gaethje Tactics
Veteran"Justin Gaethje is a veteran striker with a high-volume and aggressive style, and is considered one of the most exciting fighters in the lightweight division."